Assessment of fish consumption behaviour and market forecasts for sustainable fisheries in Manipur, India

N. K. Sonanla; M. Rajakumar; T. Umamaheswari; N. V. Sujathkumar; S. Athithan; Wanglar Chimwar

doi:10.17017/j.fish.1149

N. K. Sonanla Department of Fisheries Extension, Economics and Statistics, Fisheries College and Research Institute, Tamil Nadu Dr. J. Jayalalithaa Fisheries University, Thoothukudi – 628008, India
M. Rajakumar Tamil Nadu Dr. J. Jayalalithaa Fisheries University, Nagapattinam – 611002, India
T. Umamaheswari Department of Fisheries Extension, Economics and Statistics, Fisheries College and Research Institute, Tamil Nadu Dr. J. Jayalalithaa Fisheries University, Thoothukudi – 628008, India
N. V. Sujathkumar Department of Fisheries Extension, Economics and Statistics, Fisheries College and Research Institute, Tamil Nadu Dr. J. Jayalalithaa Fisheries University, Thoothukudi – 628008, India
S. Athithan Department of Aquaculture, Fisheries College and Research Institute, Tamil Nadu Dr. J. Jayalalithaa Fisheries University, Thoothukudi – 628008, India
Wanglar Chimwar Department of Fish Genetics and Reproduction, College of Fisheries, Central Agricultural University (Imphal), Lembucherra, Tripura – 799210, India

DOI: https://doi.org/10.17017/j.fish.1149

Keywords: demographic profile, fish consumption, household expenditure, Manipur, socio-economic factors

Abstract

This study analysed the socio-economic characteristics, consumption behaviour and expenditure patterns of fish-consuming households in Manipur, India, using data from 450 households across six districts belonging to different social background. Secondary data (2015 – 2025) obtained from government records supported a production-requirement forecast. The regression model demonstrated a moderately strong relationship between the predictors and the dependent variable (R² = 0.588; adjusted R² = 0.581). A paired t-test revealed that monthly expenditure on fish alone ₹5,326.88 (~59.20 $) was much higher than other non-vegetarian foods ₹2,310.44, comprising nearly 70% of the total non-vegetarian expenses. Holt’s exponential smoothing model (R² = 0.813, MAPE = 2.71%) projected that fish demand will exceed supply from 2024 – 2029, indicating a widening gap. The study concludes that fish holds cultural and nutritional importance in Manipur and calls for enhanced aquaculture, better market infrastructure, and improved consumer awareness for sustainable fish supply and food security.

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